Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Markets waiting on Big3 bailout news

President-elect Obama has been busy putting his team together. This includes not only his cabinet but other various advisors as well. One interesting choice was former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker to head a new advisory panel whose purpose it is to offer advice, information, and strategy for the finacial markets and how to jump start and maintain a healthy U.S. economy.

The world continues to watch and wait on the U.S. govenrment finalizing a package in the form of a bridge loan to the Big 3 automakers. What started with the Big 3 asking for $25 billion, then told to go back and come up with a plan (do you remember seeing AIGs plan? surely the other financial institutions who received part of the $700 billion had to show a plan . . .?). They did and came back and asked for $34 billion! It appears the House and Senate are prepared to offer the Big 3 $15 billion, payable on December 15th, to give them the ability to hang in there until Barack Obama takes over and then his team can decide where to go from there.

Ideas for investments???? Well, this is really looking for a jewel in the trash - what are the best companies in defensive or cyclical industries that have been beat down unfairly and when do you take a chance? I am not convinced we are at the bottom but I do believe we are very close. The markets still move up for a few days and then have a big down (people take short-term profits after a nice move upwards) as the markets settle in. It doesn't take much news, positive or negative, to get movement - though the movement seems to be overblown in either direction. I still like infrastructure plays, but others such as cyclical/defensive stocks are a good way to go as well. There is still a lot of quality companies out there than you can buy on sale! Companies I like are Dean Foods, Kellogg's and General Mills in the food producer category. As always, you need to do your research and determine whether these or any investment alternatives are right for you!

My most recent trade was buying Citicorp in the upper $3 range; it is currently at mid-$8 range. Sure wish I would have bought a truckload of it!!!

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